NASCAR Betting by the Numbers: Homestead-Miami Championship Predictions & Picks

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Together with the 2018 NASCAR year coming to an end this weekend at Homestead-Miami, race fans will have their last opportunity to make a little extra cash for the next 3 months. Not only is the race sure to be an exciting one, the 2018 NASCAR Champion will be crowned. This implies, NASCAR fans have the joy of two different major gambling opportunities to make the most of.

While Vegas has introduced their odds for each driver to win the Ford EcoBoost 400 in Homestead-Miami, I’ve compiled information that shows slightly different results. By choosing to ignore past year’s performances in this track and instead focus on season finish averages according to 1.5 mile trail performances, I have created a list of drivers that are most likely to acquire this weekend. This list also enables us to evaluate each driver’s gaming yield according to their Vegas odds.

Vegas Odds
Kevin Harvick: 11/4
Kyle Busch: 11/4
Kyle Larson: 3/1
Martin Truex Jr.: 6/1
Joey Logano: 10/1
Brad Keselowski: 15/1
Chase Elliott: 20/1
Denny Hamlin: 20/1
Clint Bowyer: 25/1
Kurt Busch: 25/1
Eric Jones: 30/1
Aric Almirola: 40/1
Ryan Blaney: 40/1
Austin Dillon: 80/1
Jimmie Johnson: 80/1
Daniel Su??rez: 100/1
1.5 Mile Finish Averages
Kyle Busch: 5.4 (2) ^1
Joey Logano: 7.25 (5) ^3
Martin Truex Jr.: 8.9 (4) ^1
Kevin Harvick: 9.3 (1) v3
Kyle Larson: 9.6 (3) v2
Brad Keselowski: 9.7 (6) —
Austin Dillon: 10.4 (14) ^7
Eric Jones: 10.6 (11) ^3
Aric Almirola: 12.6 (12) ^3
Ryan Blaney: 12.7 (13) ^3
Clint Bowyer: 13 (9) v2
Kurt Busch: 13 (10) v2
Chase Elliott: 13.9 (7) v6
Denny Hamlin: 14.8 (8) v6
Jimmie Johnson: 17.6 (15) —
Daniel Su??rez: 19.25 (16) —

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